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[Scenario] 2026 Global Wildfire Calendar: The Unending Cycle of Flames

입력 10/1/2025 6:43:30 PM

This is the scenario of the '2026 Global Wildfire Calendar' predicted based on an analysis of global climate patterns. Assuming that the current climate crisis does not improve, it reflects the seasonal characteristics and risk factors of each region that form the basis of AI simulations. This calendar shows the reality of a global disaster that continues year-round as the 'wildfire season' disappears.

Amazon Fire Satellite (Virtual Image)
Amazon Fire Satellite (Virtual Image)

Q1: The Peak of the Southern Hemisphere and the Dry Start of the Northern Hemisphere

January: Southeast Australia (New South Wales, Victoria) | The Reenactment of the Black Summer The summer in the Southern Hemisphere reaches its peak, with record heatwaves and extreme drought sweeping across Southeast Australia. Eucalyptus forests turn into massive powder kegs, threatening cities like Sydney and Melbourne.

February: South America (Central-Southern Chile, Patagonia, Argentina) | The Screams of the Andes South America also faces extreme hot and dry weather. Major wildfires occur near densely populated areas like Valparaíso, Chile, and the flames spread to ecological reserves in Argentina.

March: Mainland Southeast Asia (Northern Thailand, Myanmar) | Cross-Border Haze As the mainland of Southeast Asia enters the dry season, slash-and-burn agriculture and wildfires surge. The resulting severe haze blankets cities in neighboring countries.

Q2: Spring in the Northern Hemisphere, Awakening Embers and Strong Winds

April: Korea (East Coast of Gangwon), Japan, Central Asia | The Uninvited Guest of Spring Spring in the Northern Hemisphere is accompanied by dry conditions and strong winds. In particular, the East Coast of Korea experiences rapid large-scale wildfires fueled by the 'Yangganji Wind', threatening urban areas. The risk of wildfires also surges in the steppes of Central Asia.

May: Siberia, Russia, Northeastern China | The Resurrection of Zombie Fires The 'Zombie Fire', which had been hidden under the snow all winter, reignites in Siberia. As permafrost thaws, wildfires spread even wider, and the northern coniferous forests in Heilongjiang, China, face significant fire risks.

June: Southwestern United States (Arizona), Early Mediterranean | Early Heatwaves and the Prelude to Summer As summer begins in the Northern Hemisphere, early heatwaves hit the desert regions of the Southwestern United States. Countries along the Mediterranean coast, such as Spain and Turkey, also experience fires signaling the early start of the wildfire season compared to previous years.

Q3: The Peak of Global Catastrophe

July: Western North America (California, USA, British Columbia, Canada) | The Full Scale of Mega Fires The wildfire season in Western North America intensifies. Uncontrollable mega fires occur simultaneously, lasting for dozens of days. The smoke generated blankets the entire continent.

August: Amazon (Brazil, Bolivia), Southern Europe (Greece, Italy) | The Crisis of the Earth's Lungs and Civilization The Amazon reaches the peak of the dry season, with illegal burning for agricultural land reaching its extreme. At the same time, Southern Europe faces extreme heat and drought, engulfing tourist areas and major agricultural regions (olive groves) in Greece and Italy.

September: Indonesia (Sumatra, Borneo) | The Disaster of Peatlands and Greenhouse Gases The act of setting fire to Indonesia's 'Peatlands' for palm oil plantation expansion intensifies. Once ignited, peat releases massive amounts of greenhouse gases and fine dust, causing severe air pollution in neighboring countries.

Q4: The Never-Ending Season and New Beginnings

October: Southern California, USA, Andalusia, Spain | Strong Winds and Prolonged Drought The dry and hot 'Santa Ana Winds' begin to blow in California, rapidly spreading wildfires even near LA. The prolonged drought in Southern Europe extends the wildfire season into the fall.

November: South American Savanna (Cerrado, Brazil) | The Hidden Powder Keg Large-scale fires occur in the vast grasslands of Cerrado, located south of the Amazon. This area is also simultaneously affected by development pressures for agricultural expansion and climate change.

December: Eastern Coast of Australia | Again, the Cycle Begins As summer returns to the eastern coast of Australia, embers rise from the parched land. This signals not the end of the disaster, but the beginning of another cycle of flames leading into the next year.

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